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Major League Soccer’s Moment: The Business, The Messi Effect, and The Billion-Dollar Future

  • Writer: Thomas Vergnolle
    Thomas Vergnolle
  • Feb 27
  • 5 min read


The Time Has Come for American footb... socc.. anyways, let's call it football because it is football right ?


Stop me if you’ve heard this before: “Major League Soccer is the next big thing in U.S. sports.”


For decades, MLS has been the little brother in the American sports family, looking up at the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL while fighting for a seat at the big kids’ table. Every few years, a new hype wave arrives: Beckham’s arrival, expansion teams, stadiums packed with rabid fans. And every time, skeptics roll their eyes and say: “Yeah, but…”


Not this time.


This time, MLS has arrived. Not as some plucky underdog, but as a legitimate billion-dollar industry with a business model that could, one day, make it bigger than even Europe’s elite football leagues.


And the catalyst? One man. Lionel Messi.


The Messi Effect: Bigger Than Beckham, Bigger Than the League?


When Messi joined Inter Miami in 2023, it wasn’t just a transfer. It was an economic earthquake. A billion-dollar swing in one year.


Let’s talk numbers:

Inter Miami’s revenue jumped from $55M to $190M in 12 months. That’s a 245% increase—the kind of numbers you see in Silicon Valley, not soccer.

Club valuation? Doubled. From $600M to $1.2B overnight. Second only to LAFC.

Ticket demand? Off the charts. The Chicago Fire sold out Soldier Field—where the Bears play—for an Inter Miami game in which Messi didn’t even step on the pitch. That one game generated 55% of the Fire’s entire season’s ticket revenue.


These numbers don’t happen in a vacuum. This is business strategy executed at the highest level. MLS and Inter Miami didn’t just land Messi; they built an entire revenue ecosystem around him.


Apple TV? They’re giving Messi a revenue share from new MLS Season Pass subscribers.

Adidas? Cutting Messi a check based on his jersey sales.

Sponsorships? JP Morgan Chase slapped their name on Miami’s new stadium before the foundation was even dry.

Global tour? El Salvador, Dallas, Saudi Arabia, Hong Kong, Japan—23,000 miles in 3 weeks. Inter Miami is printing money.


Messi’s impact is already bigger than Beckham’s ever was. But there’s a key difference. Beckham was the face of expansion. Messi is the face of acceleration. This isn’t about surviving anymore. This is about taking over.


MLS is Printing Money (Without TV Deals?)


The craziest part? MLS isn’t relying on TV money like the NFL or NBA.


For decades, the narrative around American sports has been “TV is king.” The NFL hands every team a $400M check before a single beer is sold. The NBA? A $75B broadcast deal is on the table.


MLS? They made a different bet.

• In 2022, MLS inked a 10-year, $2.5B deal with Apple TV.

• Critics said it would hurt exposure. “Who’s gonna subscribe to watch this league?”

• Enter Messi.


Now, MLS fans watch an average of 65 minutes per match on Apple TV. Compare that to the NFL, where the average viewer spends 30 minutes actually watching plays.


Apple’s smart, too. They’re integrating MLS into 2.35 billion devices worldwide—your iPhone, your iPad, your Apple Music. This isn’t just a TV deal. This is an ecosystem takeover.


MLS is quietly proving something wild: You don’t need massive TV deals if you own the entire digital space.


And guess what? Every sports league is now scrambling to add a streaming model to their TV deals. MLS was ahead of the curve.


The Stadium Revolution: Selling Out Like Never Before


If you think MLS is just riding the Messi wave, think again. The attendance numbers tell the real story.


12.1M fans attended matches last season—second in the world, behind only the Premier League.

213 games sold out.

Stadiums hit 94% capacity.

Multiple games saw 70,000+ fans.


This isn’t just a league with hype. This is a league with butts in seats.


And it’s regional. MLS thrives on local fan engagement. Atlanta United, LAFC, Austin FC—these teams have built die-hard fanbases that would rival European ultras. That’s sustainable business.


Can MLS Overtake European Leagues?



Alright, let’s address the elephant in the room. MLS isn’t the best league in the world (yet).


Skill-wise, it ranks somewhere just inside the top 10 globally. But here’s the thing: that might not even matter.


MLS plays a different game. No relegation. A salary cap. Centralized league ownership. That’s a more stable business model than any European league.


The financials tell the story:

• MLS teams are trading at 9x revenue. That’s higher than the NFL, NHL, WNBA, and MLB.

• LAFC ($1.28B) is worth more than Inter Milan, Aston Villa, and West Ham. Let that sink in.

Half the league is now profitable—without massive TV deals.


Meanwhile, look at Europe. Half of the biggest clubs are drowning in debt. Barcelona? Constant financial gymnastics to stay afloat. Juventus? Cut costs or collapse. Even PSG, owned by Qatar, is bleeding money.


The financial model of European football is broken. MLS? It’s built for the long haul.


The Road to 2026: America’s Golden Opportunity


Messi is the moment, but 2026 is the mission.

FIFA Club World Cup in 2025—featuring the world’s biggest teams, hosted on U.S. soil.

2026 FIFA World Cup—the biggest sports event on the planet, with 75% of matches in the U.S.

Expansion teams booming—San Diego FC just paid a $500M expansion fee.


This is MLS’s time to go from billion-dollar league to global powerhouse.


The Blueprint: How MLS Conquers the Sports Market


If MLS wants to take over, they need to double down on three key strategies:


1. Superstars, Superstars, Superstars

  • Messi is proof that one player can change a league’s fortune.

  • The next targets? Neymar, Modric, Griezmann. Get them in before 2026.

  • The NBA grew by marketing stars. MLS needs to do the same.


2. Invest in Local Fanbases & Rivalries

  • Fans love storylines and tribalism.

  • Build the NYC-LA rivalry. Push Portland-Seattle like a Premier League derby.

  • MLS clubs already dominate their markets. Keep making them the city’s #1 team.


3. Dominate the Digital Space

  • Keep Apple TV as the home of soccer.

  • Launch behind-the-scenes docuseries (Drive to Survive for MLS?).

  • Make Messi and MLS players digital superstars like F1 did with Netflix.


Final Whistle: MLS is No Longer the Underdog


For decades, MLS was fighting for legitimacy. Now? It’s fighting for global dominance.


Messi accelerated the league’s rise, but the real test is what happens after he’s gone. If MLS executes correctly—bringing in more stars, keeping stadiums packed, owning the digital space—it won’t just be America’s league.


It’ll be a global powerhouse, standing toe-to-toe with Europe’s best.


And when that happens? The conversation won’t be about whether MLS belongs.


It’ll be about how far it can go.

 
 
 

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